Notts County 35%Draw 23%Oxford United 43%Expected goals 1.30 – 1.47
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Oxford United to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOxford United to win ✓43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.36
Notts County vs Oxford United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the League One brings Notts County against Oxford United at Meadow Lane. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Notts County are 17th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Oxford United are 3rd (among the top four) with 26. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Notts County, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Grimsby, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Oxford United, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Exeter City, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Oxford United, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Notts County.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Notts County 1.3 xG, Oxford United 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Notts County 35%, draw 23%, Oxford United 43%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Oxford United to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Notts County 1–1 Oxford United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Notts County35%fair 2.87 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Oxford United43%fair 2.35 · @2.62
2.77Expected goals
1.30Notts County xG
1.47Oxford United xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Notts County 1.3 – 1.5 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oxford United to win✓
43%
2.35
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Oxford United (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Notts County +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Oxford United to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oxford United / FT Oxford United✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.36
–
Recent results
Notts County – last 6
WLLDDW
22 Sep
vs Grimsby
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Reading
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Bradford
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Huddersfield
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Doncaster
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Burton Albion
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oxford United – last 6
DDWWLW
6 Oct
@ Exeter City
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Cambridge United
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Burton Albion
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Leicester
4–0
W
1 Sep
@ Huddersfield
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Stevenage
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notts County and Oxford United.
What is the prediction for Notts County vs Oxford United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Notts County vs Oxford United?
On our numbers Notts County have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oxford United 43%.
How many goals will there be in Notts County vs Oxford United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notts County vs Oxford United?
Our predicted score is Notts County 1–1 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Notts County vs Oxford United?
Notts County vs Oxford United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Meadow Lane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
