Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Bradford to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBradford to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceBradford or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.26
Bradford vs Stevenage: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stevenage travel to face Bradford on Saturday 17 October in the League One, with Valley Parade the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Bradford are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Stevenage are 16th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Bradford, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Leyton Orient, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Stevenage, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Wigan, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bradford 1.3 xG, Stevenage 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bradford 57%, draw 23%, Stevenage 20%.
Lower-risk option: Bradford or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Bradford to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bradford or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bradford 1–0 Stevenage. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bradford57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.25
Stevenage20%fair 4.96 · @3.80
1.94Expected goals
1.32Bradford xG
0.62Stevenage xG
46%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Bradford 1.3 – 0.6 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bradford to win✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Bradford or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Bradford (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Stevenage +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Bradford to score first✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bradford / FT Bradford✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.26
–
Recent results
Bradford – last 6
DWDWWW
10 Oct
vs Leyton Orient
0–0
D
6 Oct
@ Rotherham
4–0
W
3 Oct
@ Reading
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Newcastle United U21
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Luton
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Notts County
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Stevenage – last 6
WWWLWW
10 Oct
vs Wigan
1–0
W
6 Oct
vs Leicester
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ Walsall
6–1
W
19 Sep
@ Leyton Orient
0–1
L
10 Sep
vs Luton
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Barnsley
5–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bradford and Stevenage.
Our pick is Bradford or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bradford vs Stevenage?
On our numbers Bradford have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stevenage 20%.
How many goals will there be in Bradford vs Stevenage?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bradford vs Stevenage?
Our predicted score is Bradford 1–0 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Bradford vs Stevenage?
Bradford vs Stevenage (League One) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Valley Parade.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
