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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Peterborough v Burton Albion: numbers & prediction

League One · England · ABAX Stadium
2–2
FT
Peterborough 60%Draw 18%Burton Albion 22% Expected goals 1.77 – 0.91
60%
Betarazi pick

Peterborough to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultPeterborough to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Peterborough vs Burton Albion: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Burton Albion travel to face Peterborough on Saturday 17 October in the League One, with ABAX Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Peterborough are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Burton Albion are 15th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Peterborough, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Leicester, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Burton Albion, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Doncaster, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Peterborough, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Burton Albion.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Peterborough 1–1 Burton Albion.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Peterborough 1.8 xG, Burton Albion 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Peterborough 60%, draw 18%, Burton Albion 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Peterborough to win (60%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peterborough 1–0 Burton Albion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Peterborough60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @3.80
Burton Albion22%fair 4.61 · @3.50
2.68Expected goals
1.77Peterborough xG
0.91Burton Albion xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Peterborough 1.8 – 0.9 Burton Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPeterborough to win ✗60%1.661.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.691.57
Draw no betPeterborough (draw no bet)74%1.36–
Asian handicapBurton Albion +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scorePeterborough to score first62%1.63–
Half-time resultPeterborough ahead at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Peterborough / FT Peterborough ✗36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

Peterborough – last 6

WWLWLD
10 Oct@ Leicester3–1W
6 Octvs Ipswich Town U214–1W
26 Sep@ Stockport County0–1L
22 Sepvs Colchester3–1W
19 Sepvs Doncaster0–2L
15 Sepvs Barnsley3–3D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Burton Albion – last 6

LDLWDD
10 Oct@ Doncaster0–1L
6 Oct@ Grimsby0–0D
3 Octvs Huddersfield1–3L
26 Sep@ Plymouth1–0W
22 Sepvs Nottingham Forest U211–1D
19 Sepvs Mansfield Town2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Peterborough v Burton Albion1–1
Peterborough vs Burton Albion head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Peterborough vs Burton Albion?

Our pick is Peterborough to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Peterborough vs Burton Albion?

On our numbers Peterborough have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Burton Albion 22%.

How many goals will there be in Peterborough vs Burton Albion?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Peterborough vs Burton Albion?

Our predicted score is Peterborough 1–0 Burton Albion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Peterborough vs Burton Albion?

Peterborough vs Burton Albion (League One) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at ABAX Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.