Sheffield Wednesday v AFC Wimbledon Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSheffield Wednesday to win ✓58% · @1.67

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AFC Wimbledon travel to face Sheffield Wednesday on Saturday 17 October in the League One, with Hillsborough the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Sheffield Wednesday are 9th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; AFC Wimbledon are 18th (lower half) with 13.

Current form

Sheffield Wednesday, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Huddersfield, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

AFC Wimbledon, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Plymouth, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Sheffield Wednesday, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for AFC Wimbledon.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sheffield Wednesday 1.6 xG, AFC Wimbledon 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sheffield Wednesday 58%, draw 20%, AFC Wimbledon 22%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sheffield Wednesday to win (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 AFC Wimbledon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sheffield Wednesday58%fair 1.72 · @1.67

Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.80

AFC Wimbledon22%fair 4.54 · @4.40

2.35Expected goals

1.56Sheffield Wednesday xG

0.79AFC Wimbledon xG

56%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

1–112%

2–012%

0–010%

2–19%

0–18%

From our goals model: Sheffield Wednesday 1.6 – 0.8 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sheffield Wednesday to win ✓	58%	1.72	1.67
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.24	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.80	1.70
Draw no bet	Sheffield Wednesday (draw no bet) ✓	73%	1.38	–
Asian handicap	AFC Wimbledon +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.72	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	79%	1.27	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Sheffield Wednesday to score first ✓	60%	1.67	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sheffield Wednesday / FT Sheffield Wednesday ✓	34%	2.98	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.91	–

Sheffield Wednesday – last 6

DWWDDW

10 Oct	@ Huddersfield	2–2	D
6 Oct	vs Sunderland U21	2–0	W
22 Sep	@ Salford City	2–1	W
19 Sep	vs Stockport County	0–0	D
12 Sep	vs Wigan	0–0	D
5 Sep	@ Peterborough	2–1	W

1.3Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

AFC Wimbledon – last 6

LDDDWW

10 Oct	@ Plymouth	1–2	L
6 Oct	vs Barnet	0–0	D
26 Sep	@ Cambridge United	1–1	D
17 Sep	vs Milton Keynes Dons	0–0	D
12 Sep	vs Doncaster	1–0	W
7 Sep	@ Bromley	2–0	W

0.8Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

Team

Pts

+16

+12

+11

+10

-2

-3

-1

-12

-4

-8

-11

-12

-10

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our pick is Sheffield Wednesday to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

On our numbers Sheffield Wednesday have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AFC Wimbledon 22%.

How many goals will there be in Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

Our predicted score is Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 AFC Wimbledon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon (League One) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Hillsborough.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sheffield Wednesday v AFC Wimbledon: numbers & prediction