Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Plymouth to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPlymouth to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Stevenage vs Plymouth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Plymouth travel to face Stevenage on Tuesday 20 October in the League One, with Broadhall Way the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Stevenage are 16th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Plymouth are 5th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Stevenage, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bradford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Plymouth, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Huddersfield, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Plymouth 1–0 Stevenage.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stevenage 1.3 xG, Plymouth 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stevenage 36%, draw 23%, Plymouth 41%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Plymouth to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stevenage 1–1 Plymouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stevenage36%fair 2.82 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Plymouth41%fair 2.41 · @2.60
2.70Expected goals
1.29Stevenage xG
1.41Plymouth xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Stevenage 1.3 – 1.4 Plymouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Stevenage vs Plymouth?
On our numbers Stevenage have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Plymouth 41%.
How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Plymouth?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Plymouth?
Our predicted score is Stevenage 1–1 Plymouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Stevenage vs Plymouth?
Stevenage vs Plymouth (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Broadhall Way.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
