Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMilton Keynes Dons to win56% · @1.67
Double chanceMilton Keynes Dons or draw80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.19
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 14 November: Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion in the League One, played at Stadium MK. In the table, Milton Keynes Dons are 12th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Burton Albion are 15th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Milton Keynes Dons, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bromley, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Burton Albion, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Notts County, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Milton Keynes Dons, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Burton Albion.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Milton Keynes Dons 1.9 xG, Burton Albion 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Milton Keynes Dons 56%, draw 24%, Burton Albion 20%.
Lower-risk option: Milton Keynes Dons or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Burton Albion. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Milton Keynes Dons56%fair 1.78 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.70
Burton Albion20%fair 5.07 · @4.50
3.02Expected goals
1.87Milton Keynes Dons xG
1.15Burton Albion xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Milton Keynes Dons 1.9 – 1.2 Burton Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Milton Keynes Dons
Burton Albion
Attack vs League One average
+18%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+11%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.81
1.29
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Milton Keynes Dons to win
56%
1.78
1.67
Double chance
Milton Keynes Dons or draw
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.60
1.67
Draw no bet
Milton Keynes Dons (draw no bet)
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Burton Albion +1.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.17
First team to score
Milton Keynes Dons to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Milton Keynes Dons ahead at half-time
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Milton Keynes Dons / FT Milton Keynes Dons
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Milton Keynes Dons – last 6
WWWWWL
10 Nov
@ Bromley
2–1
W
7 Nov
vs Swindon Town
2–1
W
31 Oct
vs Doncaster
6–1
W
27 Oct
vs Bromley
4–1
W
24 Oct
@ Stevenage
1–0
W
20 Oct
@ Blackpool
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Burton Albion – last 6
LWLWDD
10 Nov
vs Notts County
0–3
L
7 Nov
vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds
4–0
W
31 Oct
@ Wycombe
0–2
L
24 Oct
vs Leyton Orient
2–1
W
20 Oct
vs Bradford
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Peterborough
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Milton Keynes Dons and Burton Albion.
What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
On our numbers Milton Keynes Dons have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Burton Albion 20%.
How many goals will there be in Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
Our predicted score is Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Burton Albion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?
Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion (League One) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium MK.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
