Peterborough 28%Draw 24%Oxford United 48%Expected goals 1.03 – 1.69
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Oxford United to win @ 2.40 – our chance 48% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultOxford United to win48% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.32
Peterborough vs Oxford United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 November the League One brings Peterborough against Oxford United at Weston Homes Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Peterborough are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Oxford United are 3rd (among the top four) with 26. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Peterborough, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Reading, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Oxford United, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Cheltenham, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Oxford United, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Peterborough.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peterborough 1.0 xG, Oxford United 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peterborough 28%, draw 24%, Oxford United 48%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Oxford United to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 48%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peterborough 1–1 Oxford United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peterborough28%fair 3.52 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.60
Oxford United48%fair 2.08 · @2.40
2.72Expected goals
1.03Peterborough xG
1.69Oxford United xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Peterborough 1.0 – 1.7 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Peterborough
Oxford United
Attack vs League One average
-22%
+21%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
-31%
Our expected goals here
0.80
1.74
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oxford United to win
48%
2.08
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.50
Draw no bet
Oxford United (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Peterborough +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.80
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.22
First team to score
Oxford United to score first
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oxford United / FT Oxford United
32%
3.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Peterborough – last 6
LLLDLD
7 Nov
vs Reading
0–5
L
31 Oct
vs Luton
0–2
L
27 Oct
@ Bradford
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Bromley
1–1
D
20 Oct
@ Huddersfield
1–4
L
17 Oct
vs Burton Albion
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Oxford United – last 6
WLWDWD
10 Nov
vs Cheltenham
4–0
W
7 Nov
vs Stevenage
0–1
L
4 Nov
vs Reading
2–0
W
31 Oct
@ Barnsley
1–1
D
27 Oct
vs Stockport County
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Bradford
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peterborough and Oxford United.
What is the prediction for Peterborough vs Oxford United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Peterborough vs Oxford United?
On our numbers Peterborough have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oxford United 48%.
How many goals will there be in Peterborough vs Oxford United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peterborough vs Oxford United?
Our predicted score is Peterborough 1–1 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Peterborough vs Oxford United?
Peterborough vs Oxford United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Weston Homes Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
