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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stevenage v Mansfield Town: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Lamex Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Stevenage 41%Draw 26%Mansfield Town 33% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.18
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultStevenage to win41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.60

Stevenage vs Mansfield Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Stevenage welcome Mansfield Town to Lamex Stadium for a League One fixture on Saturday 14 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Stevenage are 16th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Mansfield Town are 11th (upper half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Stevenage, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fulham U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Mansfield Town, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Chesterfield, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stevenage 1.4 xG, Mansfield Town 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stevenage 41%, draw 26%, Mansfield Town 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stevenage 1–1 Mansfield Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stevenage41%fair 2.46 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.25
Mansfield Town33%fair 3.04 · @2.90
2.54Expected goals
1.36Stevenage xG
1.18Mansfield Town xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Stevenage 1.4 – 1.2 Mansfield Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

StevenageMansfield Town
Attack vs League One average-3%+2%
Goals conceded vs average-9%-9%
Our expected goals here1.321.12

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStevenage to win41%2.462.25
Double chanceEither team to win74%1.361.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.771.80
Draw no betStevenage (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapMansfield Town +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.871.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.141.10
First team to scoreStevenage to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stevenage / FT Stevenage24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.60–

Recent results

Stevenage – last 6

DWDLWL
10 Novvs Fulham U212–2D
7 Nov@ Oxford United1–0W
31 Oct@ Leicester2–2D
24 Octvs Milton Keynes Dons0–1L
20 Octvs Plymouth3–0W
17 Oct@ Bradford0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mansfield Town – last 6

LWDLWW
10 Novvs Chesterfield3–5L
7 Novvs Macclesfield3–0W
3 Nov@ Wigan0–0D
31 Octvs Notts County0–2L
24 Oct@ Blackpool4–1W
20 Oct@ AFC Wimbledon3–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Mansfield Town.

Stevenage vs Mansfield Town head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?

On our numbers Stevenage have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mansfield Town 33%.

How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?

Our predicted score is Stevenage 1–1 Mansfield Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Stevenage vs Mansfield Town?

Stevenage vs Mansfield Town (League One) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lamex Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.