Wigan vs Barnsley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Wigan welcome Barnsley to The Brick Community Stadium for a League One fixture on Saturday 14 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Wigan are 21st, lower half, on 11 points after 14 matches; Barnsley are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Wigan, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Crewe, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Barnsley, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 7–2 win over Aldershot Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Wigan, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Barnsley.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Barnsley 1–1 Wigan. The last 2 head-to-heads: Wigan 0 wins, Barnsley 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wigan 1.4 xG, Barnsley 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wigan 42%, draw 26%, Barnsley 32%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wigan 1–1 Barnsley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wigan42%fair 2.39 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.50
Barnsley32%fair 3.11 · @2.80
2.58Expected goals
1.41Wigan xG
1.17Barnsley xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Wigan 1.4 – 1.2 Barnsley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Wigan
Barnsley
Attack vs League One average
-28%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.21
0.98
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Wigan vs Barnsley?
On our numbers Wigan have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Barnsley 32%.
How many goals will there be in Wigan vs Barnsley?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wigan vs Barnsley?
Our predicted score is Wigan 1–1 Barnsley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Wigan vs Barnsley?
Wigan vs Barnsley (League One) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Brick Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
