Value bet: Sudtirol to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCatanzaro to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Catanzaro vs Sudtirol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Catanzaro welcome Sudtirol to Stadio Nicola Ceravolo for a Coppa Italia fixture on Saturday 15 August (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Catanzaro, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Giugliano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sudtirol, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Virtus Verona, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Catanzaro, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Sudtirol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Catanzaro 1.4 xG, Sudtirol 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Catanzaro 47%, draw 23%, Sudtirol 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Sudtirol to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Catanzaro 1–1 Sudtirol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Catanzaro47%fair 2.14 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Sudtirol31%fair 3.27 · @3.70
2.39Expected goals
1.36Catanzaro xG
1.03Sudtirol xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Catanzaro 1.4 – 1.0 Sudtirol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Catanzaro to win✗
47%
2.14
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.95
Draw no bet
Catanzaro (draw no bet)
60%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Sudtirol +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Catanzaro to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Catanzaro / FT Catanzaro✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
Catanzaro – last 6
WWLLWW
5 Aug
vs Giugliano
3–0
W
29 May
@ Monza
2–0
W
24 May
vs Monza
0–2
L
20 May
@ Palermo
0–2
L
17 May
vs Palermo
3–0
W
12 May
vs Avellino
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sudtirol – last 6
WDDDLD
7 Aug
vs Virtus Verona
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–0
D
22 May
vs Bari
0–0
D
8 May
vs Juve Stabia
1–1
D
1 May
@ Sampdoria
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Cesena
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Catanzaro and Sudtirol.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Sudtirol?
On our numbers Catanzaro have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sudtirol 31%.
How many goals will there be in Catanzaro vs Sudtirol?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Catanzaro vs Sudtirol?
Our predicted score is Catanzaro 1–1 Sudtirol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Catanzaro vs Sudtirol?
Catanzaro vs Sudtirol (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coppa Italia · Italy · Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
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