Venezia vs Modena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Venezia welcome Modena to Stadio Pierluigi Penzo for a Coppa Italia fixture on Saturday 15 August (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Venezia, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Stade Brestois 29, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Modena, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vis Pesaro, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Venezia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Modena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Venezia 1.9 xG, Modena 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Venezia 63%, draw 22%, Modena 15%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Venezia 2–0 Modena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Venezia63%fair 1.59 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.20
Modena15%fair 6.69 · @6.25
2.78Expected goals
1.95Venezia xG
0.84Modena xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Venezia 1.9 – 0.8 Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Venezia to win✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Double chance
Venezia or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.91
Draw no bet
Venezia (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Venezia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.13
First team to score
Venezia to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Venezia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Venezia / FT Venezia✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Venezia – last 6
DLWWWW
8 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Saint Etienne
3–4
L
27 Jul
@ Galatasaray
3–0
W
23 Jul
vs Vis Pesaro
8–0
W
19 Jul
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
4–2
W
8 May
vs Palermo
2–0
W
3.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Modena – last 6
DWLWLL
8 Aug
vs Vis Pesaro
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Trento
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Virtus Bolzano
5–0
W
12 May
vs Juve Stabia
0–1
L
8 May
@ Avellino
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venezia and Modena.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Venezia vs Modena?
On our numbers Venezia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Modena 15%.
How many goals will there be in Venezia vs Modena?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Modena?
Our predicted score is Venezia 2–0 Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Venezia vs Modena?
Venezia vs Modena (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coppa Italia · Italy · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Catanzaro2
Sudtirol2
Udinese1
Padova0
Torino1
Carrarese0