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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Udinese v Padova: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia · Italy · Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Udinese

WWLDL
1–0
FT

Padova

DWLLW
Udinese 71%Draw 17%Padova 11% Expected goals 2.18 – 0.72
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUdinese to win ✓71% · @1.37
Double chanceUdinese or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64

Udinese vs Padova: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Padova travel to face Udinese on Saturday 15 August in the Coppa Italia, with Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT.

Current form

Udinese, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Barcelona, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Padova, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Monza, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Padova, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Udinese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Udinese 2.2 xG, Padova 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Udinese 71%, draw 17%, Padova 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Udinese 2–0 Padova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Udinese71%fair 1.40 · @1.37
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @4.60
Padova11%fair 8.90 · @8.10
2.89Expected goals
2.18Udinese xG
0.72Padova xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Udinese 2.2 – 0.7 Padova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUdinese to win ✓71%1.401.37
Double chanceUdinese or draw ✓89%1.131.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.831.95 ▲
Draw no betUdinese (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapUdinese -1 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.501.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.15
First team to scoreUdinese to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultUdinese ahead at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Udinese / FT Udinese ✓47%2.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.64–

Recent results

Udinese – last 6

WWLDLL
8 Augvs Barcelona1–0W
8 Augvs Nottingham Forest1–0W
2 Aug@ Trabzonspor0–1L
1 Augvs FSV Mainz 053–3D
28 Julvs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai1–2L
24 Jul@ Swansea0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Padova – last 6

DWLLWW
7 Aug@ Monza3–3D
1 Aug@ Cittadella2–0W
25 Julvs Ospitaletto1–3L
22 Jul@ Sassuolo1–4L
8 May@ Cesena4–3W
1 Mayvs Pescara1–0W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Udinese and Padova.

Udinese vs Padova head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia predictions

FT Catanzaro2 Sudtirol2 Pens 3–4 147%2.00X23%3.30231%3.70 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✗
FT Venezia3 Modena2 163%1.48X22%4.20215%6.25 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Torino1 Carrarese0 164%1.39X23%4.30213%8.70 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Udinese vs Padova?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Udinese vs Padova?

On our numbers Udinese have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Padova 11%.

How many goals will there be in Udinese vs Padova?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Padova?

Our predicted score is Udinese 2–0 Padova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Udinese vs Padova?

Udinese vs Padova (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.