Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Pisa to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPisa to win ✗62% · @1.90
Double chancePisa or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.69
Pisa vs Empoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 17 August the Coppa Italia brings Pisa against Empoli at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Pisa, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Bologna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Empoli, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Livorno, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pisa 1.8 xG, Empoli 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pisa 62%, draw 24%, Empoli 14%.
Lower-risk option: Pisa or draw (86%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Pisa to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pisa or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pisa 1–0 Empoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pisa62%fair 1.61 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.45
Empoli14%fair 7.11 · @3.90
2.47Expected goals
1.76Pisa xG
0.71Empoli xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Pisa 1.8 – 0.7 Empoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pisa to win✗
62%
1.61
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Pisa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.83
Draw no bet
Pisa (draw no bet)
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Pisa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Pisa to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Pisa ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pisa / FT Pisa✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.69
–
Recent results
Pisa – last 6
WLDWLL
8 Aug
@ Bologna
4–1
W
26 Jul
vs PRO Vercelli
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Juventus U23
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Pavia
6–1
W
17 May
vs Napoli
0–3
L
10 May
@ Cremonese
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Empoli – last 6
DDWDWL
8 Aug
@ Livorno
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Spezia
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
8 May
@ Monza
2–2
D
1 May
vs Avellino
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Sampdoria
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pisa and Empoli.
Our pick is Pisa or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pisa vs Empoli?
On our numbers Pisa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Empoli 14%.
How many goals will there be in Pisa vs Empoli?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Empoli?
Our predicted score is Pisa 1–0 Empoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pisa vs Empoli?
Pisa vs Empoli (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coppa Italia · Italy · Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani
Sassuolo3
Cesena0
Cremonese2
Sampdoria0
Palermo2
Lecce0