Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
Picks by market
ResultSassuolo to win ✓67% · @1.49
Double chanceSassuolo or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Sassuolo vs Cesena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Monday 17 August: Sassuolo v Cesena in the Coppa Italia, played at Mapei Stadium.
Current form
Sassuolo, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FC Augsburg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Cesena, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Forli, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cesena, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Sassuolo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sassuolo 2.2 xG, Cesena 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sassuolo 67%, draw 21%, Cesena 12%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sassuolo to win (67%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sassuolo 2–0 Cesena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sassuolo67%fair 1.50 · @1.49
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.33
Cesena12%fair 8.36 · @6.00
3.12Expected goals
2.24Sassuolo xG
0.88Cesena xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 2.2 – 0.9 Cesena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sassuolo to win✓
67%
1.50
1.49
Double chance
Sassuolo or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.65
Draw no bet
Sassuolo (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Sassuolo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Sassuolo to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Sassuolo ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sassuolo / FT Sassuolo✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Sassuolo – last 6
LLDWLL
8 Aug
@ FC Augsburg
2–3
L
5 Aug
vs Celta Vigo
1–4
L
31 Jul
vs Folgore Caratese
0–0
D
22 Jul
vs Padova
4–1
W
24 May
@ Parma
0–1
L
17 May
vs Lecce
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cesena – last 6
DWWLDD
8 Aug
@ Forli
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Vis Pesaro
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Fossombrone
3–0
W
8 May
vs Padova
3–4
L
1 May
@ Carrarese
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Sudtirol
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sassuolo and Cesena.
Our pick is Sassuolo to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Cesena?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cesena 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Cesena?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Cesena?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 2–0 Cesena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Cesena?
Sassuolo vs Cesena (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Mapei Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coppa Italia · Italy · Mapei Stadium
Pisa1
Empoli1
Cremonese2
Sampdoria0
Palermo2
Lecce0