Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultColombia to win ✓63% · @1.42
Double chanceColombia or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Colombia vs Ghana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:30 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Colombia v Ghana in the World Cup, played at Arrowhead Stadium.
Current form
Colombia, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Portugal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ghana, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Croatia, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Colombia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Ghana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colombia 1.5 xG, Ghana 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colombia 63%, draw 23%, Ghana 14%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colombia 1–0 Ghana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colombia63%fair 1.60 · @1.42
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.20
Ghana14%fair 7.00 · @7.80
2.11Expected goals
1.51Colombia xG
0.60Ghana xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Colombia 1.5 – 0.6 Ghana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colombia to win✓
63%
1.60
1.42
Double chance
Colombia or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Colombia (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Ghana +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.10
First team to score
Colombia to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colombia / FT Colombia✓
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.07
–
Recent results
Colombia – last 6
DWWWLL
28 Jun
vs Portugal
0–0
D
24 Jun
vs Congo DR
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ Uzbekistan
3–1
W
8 Jun
vs Jordan
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs France
1–3
L
27 Mar
vs Croatia
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ghana – last 6
LDWDLL
27 Jun
@ Croatia
1–2
L
23 Jun
@ England
0–0
D
18 Jun
vs Panama
1–0
W
2 Jun
@ Wales
1–1
D
23 May
@ Mexico
0–2
L
30 Mar
@ Germany
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colombia and Ghana.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Colombia vs Ghana?
On our numbers Colombia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ghana 14%.
How many goals will there be in Colombia vs Ghana?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colombia vs Ghana?
Our predicted score is Colombia 1–0 Ghana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Colombia vs Ghana?
Colombia vs Ghana (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Arrowhead Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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