Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMorocco to win ✓49% · @1.84
Double chanceMorocco or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Canada vs Morocco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Morocco travel to face Canada on Saturday 4 July in the World Cup, with NRG Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Canada, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over South Africa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Morocco, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Netherlands, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Canada 1.0 xG, Morocco 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Canada 23%, draw 28%, Morocco 49%.
Lower-risk option: Morocco or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canada 1–1 Morocco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Canada23%fair 4.34 · @4.40
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.35
Morocco49%fair 2.05 · @1.84
2.43Expected goals
1.04Canada xG
1.39Morocco xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–29%
From our goals model: Canada 1.0 – 1.4 Morocco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morocco to win✓
49%
2.05
1.84
Double chance
Morocco or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Morocco (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Canada +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.06
First team to score
Morocco to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morocco / FT Morocco✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Canada – last 6
WLWDDW
28 Jun
@ South Africa
1–0
W
24 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–2
L
18 Jun
vs Qatar
6–0
W
12 Jun
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Rep. Of Ireland
1–1
D
2 Jun
vs Uzbekistan
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Morocco – last 6
DWWDDW
30 Jun
@ Netherlands
1–1
D
24 Jun
vs Haiti
4–2
W
19 Jun
@ Scotland
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Brazil
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Norway
1–1
D
2 Jun
vs Madagascar
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canada and Morocco.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Canada vs Morocco?
On our numbers Canada have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Morocco 49%.
How many goals will there be in Canada vs Morocco?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canada vs Morocco?
Our predicted score is Canada 1–1 Morocco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Canada vs Morocco?
Canada vs Morocco (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at NRG Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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