Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 54% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFrance to win ✓63% · @1.17
Double chanceFrance or draw ✓85% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Paraguay vs France: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Paraguay v France in the World Cup, played at Lincoln Financial Field.
Current form
Paraguay, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Germany, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
France, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sweden, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Momentum favours France, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Paraguay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paraguay 1.0 xG, France 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paraguay 15%, draw 21%, France 63%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paraguay 1–1 France. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paraguay15%fair 6.54 · @14.00
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @6.80
France63%fair 1.58 · @1.17
2.77Expected goals
1.00Paraguay xG
1.77France xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Paraguay 1.0 – 1.8 France expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
France to win✓
63%
1.58
1.17
Double chance
France or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
2.40 ▲
Draw no bet
France (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Paraguay +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
First team to score
France to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT France / FT France✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Paraguay – last 6
DDWLWL
29 Jun
@ Germany
1–1
D
26 Jun
vs Australia
0–0
D
20 Jun
@ Türkiye
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ USA
1–4
L
5 Jun
vs Nicaragua
4–0
W
31 Mar
@ Morocco
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
France – last 6
WWWWWL
30 Jun
vs Sweden
3–0
W
26 Jun
@ Norway
4–1
W
22 Jun
vs Iraq
3–0
W
16 Jun
vs Senegal
3–1
W
8 Jun
vs Northern Ireland
3–1
W
4 Jun
vs Ivory Coast
1–2
L
2.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paraguay and France.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Paraguay vs France?
On our numbers Paraguay have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and France 63%.
How many goals will there be in Paraguay vs France?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paraguay vs France?
Our predicted score is Paraguay 1–1 France, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Paraguay vs France?
Paraguay vs France (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Lincoln Financial Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3