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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Youth Island: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · China · Tongliang Long Stadium

Chongqing Tongliang Long

DDLWW
2–0
FT

Qingdao Youth Island

DLWWD
Chongqing Tongliang Long 44%Draw 29%Qingdao Youth Island 27% Expected goals 1.27 – 0.89
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultChongqing Tongliang Long to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceChongqing Tongliang Long or draw ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.12

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chongqing Tongliang Long welcome Qingdao Youth Island to Tongliang Long Stadium for a FA Cup fixture on Tuesday 21 July (12:35 WAT).

Current form

Chongqing Tongliang Long, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hangzhou Greentown, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Qingdao Youth Island, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chengdu Better City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Qingdao Youth Island.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.3 xG, Qingdao Youth Island 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chongqing Tongliang Long 44%, draw 29%, Qingdao Youth Island 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw (73%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chongqing Tongliang Long44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @3.20
Qingdao Youth Island27%fair 3.66 · @3.35
2.15Expected goals
1.27Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
0.89Qingdao Youth Island xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1.3 – 0.9 Qingdao Youth Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChongqing Tongliang Long to win ✓44%2.292.05
Double chanceChongqing Tongliang Long or draw ✓73%1.381.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.951.80
Draw no betChongqing Tongliang Long (draw no bet) ✓61%1.63–
Asian handicapQingdao Youth Island +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.511.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.681.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreChongqing Tongliang Long to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chongqing Tongliang Long / FT Chongqing Tongliang Long ✓26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.12–

Recent results

Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6

DDLWWL
18 Julvs Hangzhou Greentown1–1D
11 Jul@ Chengdu Better City1–1D
4 Jul@ Shenyang Urban1–3L
27 Junvs Tianjin Teda1–0W
20 Jun@ Ningbo Professional2–0W
30 Mayvs Beijing Guoan2–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Qingdao Youth Island – last 6

DLWWDD
17 Julvs Chengdu Better City1–1D
11 Jul@ Sichuan Jiuniu0–3L
4 Julvs SHANGHAI SIPG2–1W
28 Junvs Hangzhou Greentown3–1W
19 Jun@ Xi'an Ronghai1–1D
30 Mayvs Shanghai Shenhua2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Chongqing Tongliang Long v Qingdao Youth Island1–1
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT SHANGHAI SIPG1 Sichuan Jiuniu1 Pens 4–3 163%1.53X20%4.20217%4.80 2.3–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.53 ✗
FT Shanghai Shenhua4 Qingdao Jonoon1 174%1.22X15%5.40210%10.00 2.7–0.9xG 1Shanghai Shenhua to win 74%@1.22 ✓
FT Wuhan Three Towns1 Shandong Luneng1 Pens 3–4 119%5.80X21%4.50260%1.40 1.3–2.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 67%@1.36 ✗
FT Henan Jianye1 Dalian Zhixing1 Pens 5–6 146%1.91X25%3.35229%3.55 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Yunnan Yukun3 Chengdu Better City3 Pens 3–2 133%3.00X19%4.00248%1.91 2.0–2.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.42 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?

On our numbers Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Qingdao Youth Island 27%.

How many goals will there be in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?

Our predicted score is Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island?

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Youth Island (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Tongliang Long Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.