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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shanghai Shenhua v Qingdao Jonoon: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · China · Shanghai Stadium
4–1
FT
Shanghai Shenhua 74%Draw 15%Qingdao Jonoon 10% Expected goals 2.74 – 0.91
74%
Betarazi pick

Shanghai Shenhua to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultShanghai Shenhua to win ✓74% · @1.22
Double chanceShanghai Shenhua or draw ✓90% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.77
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28

Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 21 July the FA Cup brings Shanghai Shenhua against Qingdao Jonoon at Shanghai Stadium. Kick-off: 12:35 WAT.

Current form

Shanghai Shenhua, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tianjin Teda, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Qingdao Jonoon, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Henan Jianye, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Shanghai Shenhua, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Qingdao Jonoon.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Shanghai Shenhua 2–0 Qingdao Jonoon.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shanghai Shenhua 2.7 xG, Qingdao Jonoon 0.9 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shanghai Shenhua 74%, draw 15%, Qingdao Jonoon 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.77.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shanghai Shenhua to win (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shanghai Shenhua 2–0 Qingdao Jonoon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shanghai Shenhua74%fair 1.35 · @1.22
Draw15%fair 6.55 · @5.40
Qingdao Jonoon10%fair 9.56 · @10.00
3.66Expected goals
2.74Shanghai Shenhua xG
0.91Qingdao Jonoon xG
60%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
3–09%
2–19%
3–18%
1–07%
1–16%

From our goals model: Shanghai Shenhua 2.7 – 0.9 Qingdao Jonoon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShanghai Shenhua to win ✓74%1.351.22
Double chanceShanghai Shenhua or draw ✓90%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.77 ▲
Draw no betShanghai Shenhua (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapShanghai Shenhua -1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗53%1.891.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗71%1.411.28
First team to scoreShanghai Shenhua to score first73%1.37–
Half-time resultShanghai Shenhua ahead at half-time ✓57%1.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shanghai Shenhua / FT Shanghai Shenhua ✓53%1.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.28–

Recent results

Shanghai Shenhua – last 6

LWWWDL
18 Julvs Tianjin Teda0–2L
5 Julvs Hangzhou Greentown3–2W
28 Jun@ Dalian Zhixing4–1W
20 Jun@ Hebei Kungfu2–0W
30 May@ Qingdao Youth Island2–2D
24 Mayvs Sichuan Jiuniu1–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Qingdao Jonoon – last 6

LLDWDL
17 Jul@ Henan Jianye1–5L
14 Jul@ Hangzhou Greentown2–3L
5 Julvs Chengdu Better City1–1D
26 Junvs Yunnan Yukun4–2W
20 Jun@ Wuxi Wugou2–2D
30 May@ Sichuan Jiuniu2–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Shanghai Shenhua v Qingdao Jonoon2–0
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Our pick is Shanghai Shenhua to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?

On our numbers Shanghai Shenhua have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Qingdao Jonoon 10%.

How many goals will there be in Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Our predicted score is Shanghai Shenhua 2–0 Qingdao Jonoon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Jonoon (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Shanghai Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.