Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChengdu Better City to win ✗48% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.53
Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Tuesday 21 July: Yunnan Yukun v Chengdu Better City in the FA Cup, played at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium.
Current form
Yunnan Yukun, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with SHANGHAI SIPG, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Chengdu Better City, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Qingdao Youth Island, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chengdu Better City, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Yunnan Yukun.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Chengdu Better City 2–1 Yunnan Yukun.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yunnan Yukun 2.0 xG, Chengdu Better City 2.1 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 72% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yunnan Yukun 33%, draw 19%, Chengdu Better City 48%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Chengdu Better City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yunnan Yukun33%fair 3.06 · @3.00
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.00
Chengdu Better City48%fair 2.08 · @1.91
4.11Expected goals
1.97Yunnan Yukun xG
2.14Chengdu Better City xG
72%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
2–27%
1–17%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Yunnan Yukun 2.0 – 2.1 Chengdu Better City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City?
On our numbers Yunnan Yukun have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chengdu Better City 48%.
How many goals will there be in Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City?
Our predicted score is Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Chengdu Better City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City?
Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Better City (FA Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 21 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SHANGHAI SIPG1
Sichuan Jiuniu1
Chongqing Tongliang Long2
Qingdao Youth Island0
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Jonoon1
Wuhan Three Towns1
Shandong Luneng1
Henan Jianye1
Dalian Zhixing1