Ipatinga v CSA Prediction & Expected Goals (4 Jul) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCSA to win ✗46% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Ipatinga vs CSA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSA travel to face Ipatinga on Saturday 4 July in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.

Current form

Ipatinga, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Democrata SL, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

CSA, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lagarto, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours CSA, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Ipatinga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ipatinga 1.1 xG, CSA 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ipatinga 28%, draw 27%, CSA 46%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.78, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ipatinga 1–1 CSA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ipatinga28%fair 3.61 · @2.90

Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.70

CSA46%fair 2.19 · @2.40

2.84Expected goals

1.13Ipatinga xG

1.71CSA xG

56%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

0–110%

1–210%

0–29%

1–07%

2–16%

From our goals model: Ipatinga 1.1 – 1.7 CSA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	CSA to win ✗	46%	2.19	2.40 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.36	1.40
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.78	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	CSA (draw no bet) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Asian handicap	Ipatinga +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	77%	1.29	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.86	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	–
First team to score	CSA to score first ✗	57%	1.76	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.47	–
Half-time / full-time	HT CSA / FT CSA ✗	31%	3.22	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.36	–

Ipatinga – last 6

LLLWDL

4 Jul	@ Democrata SL	0–5	L
1 Jul	vs Aymorés	1–4	L
27 Jun	@ Villa Nova	0–6	L
27 Jun	vs Vitória ES	2–0	W
24 Jun	@ Valeriodoce	1–1	D
20 Jun	vs Valeriodoce	0–1	L

0.7Scored / game

2.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

CSA – last 6

WDWDWW

27 Jun	vs Lagarto	2–0	W
21 Jun	@ Lagarto	1–1	D
14 Jun	@ Atlético Alagoinhas	7–1	W
31 May	vs Jacuipense	1–1	D
17 May	@ CSE	5–1	W
5 Apr	vs Atlético Alagoinhas	3–0	W

3.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ipatinga vs CSA?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Ipatinga vs CSA?

On our numbers Ipatinga have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CSA 46%.

How many goals will there be in Ipatinga vs CSA?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ipatinga vs CSA?

Our predicted score is Ipatinga 1–1 CSA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Ipatinga vs CSA?

Ipatinga vs CSA (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ipatinga v CSA: numbers & prediction

Ipatinga

CSA

Both teams to score