Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marcílio Dias v Portuguesa: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Marcílio Dias

WDDDD
1–1
FT

Portuguesa

WDWWL
Marcílio Dias 35%Draw 28%Portuguesa 37% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.17
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPortuguesa to win ✗37% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.05

Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 4 July the Serie D brings Marcílio Dias against Portuguesa. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT.

Current form

Marcílio Dias, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cascavel, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Portuguesa, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sampaio Corrêa RJ, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marcílio Dias 1.2 xG, Portuguesa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marcílio Dias 35%, draw 28%, Portuguesa 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marcílio Dias 1–1 Portuguesa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marcílio Dias35%fair 2.86 · @2.88
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.75
Portuguesa37%fair 2.67 · @2.45
2.37Expected goals
1.20Marcílio Dias xG
1.17Portuguesa xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Marcílio Dias 1.2 – 1.2 Portuguesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortuguesa to win ✗37%2.672.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.381.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.872.20 ▲
Draw no betPortuguesa (draw no bet)52%1.94–
Asian handicapPortuguesa +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.551.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.04
First team to scoreMarcílio Dias to score first46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marcílio Dias / FT Marcílio Dias ✗21%4.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.05–

Recent results

Marcílio Dias – last 6

WDDDDW
28 Junvs Cascavel2–1W
21 Jun@ Cascavel2–2D
7 Jun@ Independiente FSJ0–0D
24 May@ Sao Jose1–1D
5 Aprvs Independiente FSJ0–0D
7 Marvs Joinville2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Portuguesa – last 6

WDWWLW
27 Junvs Sampaio Corrêa RJ1–0W
20 Jun@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ1–1D
6 Junvs Portuguesa RJ2–0W
30 May@ Pouso Alegre2–1W
18 Marvs Paysandu2–3L
27 Febvs Altos5–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Marcílio Dias and Portuguesa.

Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Cianorte4 XV de Piracicaba0 139%2.40X30%2.50231%3.00 1.2–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.30 ✗
FT CRAC2 Treze1 138%2.60X30%2.62232%2.80 1.2–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.20 ✓
FT Sao Jose1 Portuguesa RJ0 138%2.38X31%2.62231%3.10 1.0–0.9xG 1XSao Jose or draw 69%@1.30 ✓
FT Imperatriz1 Ferroviario1 131%3.00X29%2.70240%2.30 1.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.05 ✓
FT Maguary PE2 Iguatu3 141%2.05X28%2.80232%3.50 1.2–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 55%@2.00 ✓
FT Nacional AM1 Capital Brasilia0 142%2.10X30%2.60228%3.75 1.2–1.0xG 1XNacional AM or draw 72%@1.22 ✓
FT Trem1 America-RN4 120%5.00X26%3.10254%1.62 1.1–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.00 ✓
FT Serra Branca0 Uberlandia1 136%2.30X31%2.62233%3.10 1.0–1.0xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.65 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa?

On our numbers Marcílio Dias have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Portuguesa 37%.

How many goals will there be in Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa?

Our predicted score is Marcílio Dias 1–1 Portuguesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa?

Marcílio Dias vs Portuguesa (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.