Velo Clube 48%Draw 27%São Luiz 25%Expected goals 1.28 – 0.98
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVelo Clube to win ✓48% · @1.90
Double chanceVelo Clube or draw ✓75% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.92
Velo Clube vs São Luiz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 July the Serie D brings Velo Clube against São Luiz at Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Velo Clube, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Água Santa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
São Luiz, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Blumenau, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours São Luiz, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Velo Clube.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Velo Clube 1.3 xG, São Luiz 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Velo Clube 48%, draw 27%, São Luiz 25%.
Lower-risk option: Velo Clube or draw (75%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Velo Clube 1–1 São Luiz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Velo Clube48%fair 2.08 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.90
São Luiz25%fair 4.04 · @4.00
2.26Expected goals
1.28Velo Clube xG
0.98São Luiz xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Velo Clube 1.3 – 1.0 São Luiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velo Clube to win✓
48%
2.08
1.90
Double chance
Velo Clube or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Velo Clube (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
São Luiz +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Velo Clube to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velo Clube / FT Velo Clube✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
Velo Clube – last 6
DDWLDL
27 Jun
@ Água Santa
1–1
D
20 Jun
vs Água Santa
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs CFRJ Maricá
3–1
W
30 May
@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0–1
L
23 May
vs XV de Piracicaba
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Santos
0–7
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
São Luiz – last 6
DDWDDW
27 Jun
@ Blumenau
1–1
D
20 Jun
vs Blumenau
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Joinville
3–1
W
31 May
@ Cascavel
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Novo Hamburgo
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Novo Hamburgo
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velo Clube and São Luiz.
What is the prediction for Velo Clube vs São Luiz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Velo Clube vs São Luiz?
On our numbers Velo Clube have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and São Luiz 25%.
How many goals will there be in Velo Clube vs São Luiz?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velo Clube vs São Luiz?
Our predicted score is Velo Clube 1–1 São Luiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Velo Clube vs São Luiz?
Velo Clube vs São Luiz (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Benito Agnelo Castellano
Cianorte4
XV de Piracicaba0
CRAC2
Treze1
Sao Jose1
Portuguesa RJ0
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario1
Maguary PE2
Iguatu3
Nacional AM1
Capital Brasilia0
Trem1
America-RN4
Serra Branca0
Uberlandia1