Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultSparta Katowice to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.86
Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 19 August the III Liga Group 3 brings Sparta Katowice against Goczałkowice Zdrój. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Sparta Katowice are 2nd, among the top four, on 36 points after 16 matches; Goczałkowice Zdrój are 11th (lower half) with 21. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sparta Katowice, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stal Brzeg, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Goczałkowice Zdrój, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ślęza Wrocław, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sparta Katowice, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended Goczałkowice Zdrój 1–0 Sparta Katowice.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sparta Katowice 1.6 xG, Goczałkowice Zdrój 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sparta Katowice 62%, draw 16%, Goczałkowice Zdrój 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sparta Katowice to win (62%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sparta Katowice 1–0 Goczałkowice Zdrój. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sparta Katowice62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
Draw16%fair 6.08 · @3.50
Goczałkowice Zdrój22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
2.42Expected goals
1.64Sparta Katowice xG
0.78Goczałkowice Zdrój xG
45%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sparta Katowice 1.6 – 0.8 Goczałkowice Zdrój expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Our pick is Sparta Katowice to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
On our numbers Sparta Katowice have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Goczałkowice Zdrój 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Our predicted score is Sparta Katowice 1–0 Goczałkowice Zdrój, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
