Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultGórnik Polkowice to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.58
Warta Gorzów vs Górnik Polkowice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Wednesday 19 August: Warta Gorzów v Górnik Polkowice in the III Liga Group 3. In the table, Warta Gorzów are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Górnik Polkowice are 9th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Warta Gorzów, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Barycz Sułów, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Górnik Polkowice, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Miedź Legnica II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Warta Gorzów 2.0 xG, Górnik Polkowice 2.1 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Warta Gorzów 38%, draw 20%, Górnik Polkowice 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warta Gorzów 1–2 Górnik Polkowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Warta Gorzów38%fair 2.63 · @2.60
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.60
Górnik Polkowice42%fair 2.38 · @2.20
4.07Expected goals
1.99Warta Gorzów xG
2.09Górnik Polkowice xG
59%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
2–27%
1–17%
2–17%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: Warta Gorzów 2.0 – 2.1 Górnik Polkowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Górnik Polkowice to win✗
42%
2.38
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Draw no bet
Górnik Polkowice (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Warta Gorzów +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.65 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
First team to score
Górnik Polkowice to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Górnik Polkowice ahead at half-time✗
35%
2.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Górnik Polkowice / FT Górnik Polkowice✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.58
–
Recent results
Warta Gorzów – last 6
DWLDLD
15 Aug
@ Barycz Sułów
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Carina Gubin
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ ROW Rybnik
1–5
L
25 Jul
vs Flota Świnoujście
1–1
D
19 Jul
@ Kluczevia Stargard
0–3
L
11 Jul
vs Carina Gubin
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Górnik Polkowice – last 6
DLWLWL
14 Aug
vs Miedź Legnica II
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Kluczbork
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs Rakow II
5–4
W
25 Jul
@ Barycz Sułów
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Warta Poznań
4–3
W
4 Jul
vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
1–3
L
2.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Warta Gorzów and Górnik Polkowice.
What is the prediction for Warta Gorzów vs Górnik Polkowice?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Górnik Polkowice?
On our numbers Warta Gorzów have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Górnik Polkowice 42%.
How many goals will there be in Warta Gorzów vs Górnik Polkowice?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Warta Gorzów vs Górnik Polkowice?
Our predicted score is Warta Gorzów 1–2 Górnik Polkowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Warta Gorzów vs Górnik Polkowice?
Warta Gorzów vs Górnik Polkowice (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
