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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Polonia Nysa v Stal Brzeg: numbers & prediction

3–2
FT
Polonia Nysa 37%Draw 20%Stal Brzeg 43% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.58
57%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultStal Brzeg to win ✗43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.45

Polonia Nysa vs Stal Brzeg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Polonia Nysa welcome Stal Brzeg for a III Liga Group 3 fixture on Wednesday 19 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Polonia Nysa are 18th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 15 matches; Stal Brzeg are 12th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Polonia Nysa, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stilon Gorzów, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Stal Brzeg, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sparta Katowice, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Stal Brzeg, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Polonia Nysa.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Jul 2026) it ended Stal Brzeg 2–0 Polonia Nysa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Nysa 1.5 xG, Stal Brzeg 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Nysa 37%, draw 20%, Stal Brzeg 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Nysa 1–2 Stal Brzeg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Polonia Nysa37%fair 2.69 · @2.40
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Stal Brzeg43%fair 2.34 · @2.40
3.03Expected goals
1.45Polonia Nysa xG
1.58Stal Brzeg xG
53%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Polonia Nysa 1.5 – 1.6 Stal Brzeg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStal Brzeg to win ✗43%2.342.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.87–
Draw no betStal Brzeg (draw no bet) ✗53%1.87–
Asian handicapPolonia Nysa +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.23–
First team to scoreStal Brzeg to score first50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.54–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stal Brzeg / FT Stal Brzeg ✗24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.45–

Recent results

Polonia Nysa – last 6

DDLLWL
15 Aug@ Stilon Gorzów1–1D
8 Augvs Zagłębie Lubin II2–2D
1 Aug@ Odra Bytom Odrzański0–3L
24 Jul@ Stal Brzeg0–2L
30 May@ Carina Gubin2–1W
24 Mayvs Sparta Katowice2–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Stal Brzeg – last 5

DWDWW
14 Augvs Sparta Katowice1–1D
7 Augvs Ślęza Wrocław5–1W
31 Julvs Goczałkowice Zdrój1–1D
24 Julvs Polonia Nysa2–0W
18 Julvs Starowice Dolne2–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Jul 2026Stal Brzeg v Polonia Nysa2–0
Polonia Nysa vs Stal Brzeg head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie Sosnowiec161213+1637
2Sparta Katowice161132+2136
3Odra Bytom Odrzański16943+631
4Zagłębie Lubin II16763+727
5ROW Rybnik16826+826
6Miedź Legnica II16727+823
7Karkonosze Jelenia Góra16655+523
8Kluczbork16727-323
9Górnik Polkowice16646+122
10Barycz Sułów15636021
11Goczałkowice Zdrój16637-221
12Stal Brzeg16547+519
13Stilon Gorzów16466-318
14Carina Gubin16448-1316
15Ślęza Wrocław164210-1214
16Warta Gorzów16358-1914
17Rakow II16349-1113
18Polonia Nysa15348-1413

More III Liga Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Polonia Nysa vs Stal Brzeg?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Polonia Nysa vs Stal Brzeg?

On our numbers Polonia Nysa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Stal Brzeg 43%.

How many goals will there be in Polonia Nysa vs Stal Brzeg?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Polonia Nysa vs Stal Brzeg?

Our predicted score is Polonia Nysa 1–2 Stal Brzeg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Polonia Nysa vs Stal Brzeg?

Polonia Nysa vs Stal Brzeg (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.