Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Kalisz to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKalisz to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceKalisz or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.32
Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bałtyk Koszalin welcome Kalisz for a III Liga Group 2 fixture on Sunday 23 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Bałtyk Koszalin are 8th, upper half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Kalisz are 10th (lower half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bałtyk Koszalin, last 4: WLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kotwica Kórnik, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Kalisz, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Noteć Czarnków, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bałtyk Koszalin 0.7 xG, Kalisz 1.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 41%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bałtyk Koszalin 17%, draw 19%, Kalisz 64%.
Lower-risk option: Kalisz or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Kalisz to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kalisz or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bałtyk Koszalin 0–1 Kalisz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bałtyk Koszalin17%fair 5.91 · @3.70
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
Kalisz64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
2.36Expected goals
0.68Bałtyk Koszalin xG
1.68Kalisz xG
41%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–09%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Bałtyk Koszalin 0.7 – 1.7 Kalisz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kalisz to win✗
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Kalisz or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
–
Draw no bet
Kalisz (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Kalisz -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Kalisz to score first
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kalisz / FT Kalisz✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.32
–
Recent results
Bałtyk Koszalin – last 4
WLDL
19 Aug
@ Kotwica Kórnik
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Flota Świnoujście
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Luzino
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Polonia Środa
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kalisz – last 6
LDWLWD
19 Aug
vs Noteć Czarnków
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Kotwica Kórnik
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs Unia Swarzędz
1–0
W
5 Aug
@ Górnik Łęczna
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Flota Świnoujście
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Lech Poznań II
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bałtyk Koszalin and Kalisz.
What is the prediction for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz?
Our pick is Kalisz or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz?
On our numbers Bałtyk Koszalin have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Kalisz 64%.
How many goals will there be in Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz?
Our predicted score is Bałtyk Koszalin 0–1 Kalisz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz?
Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kalisz (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
