Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLuzino to win ✗57% · @1.70
Double chanceLuzino or draw ✗79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.54
Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Stargard Szczeciński v Luzino in the III Liga Group 2. In the table, Stargard Szczeciński are 6th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Luzino are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Stargard Szczeciński, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Polonia Środa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Luzino, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Chemik Bydgoszcz, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stargard Szczeciński 1.6 xG, Luzino 2.6 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stargard Szczeciński 21%, draw 21%, Luzino 57%.
Lower-risk option: Luzino or draw (79%) at 1.17.
Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Luzino to win (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stargard Szczeciński 1–2 Luzino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stargard Szczeciński21%fair 4.67 · @3.85
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.65
Luzino57%fair 1.75 · @1.70
4.25Expected goals
1.63Stargard Szczeciński xG
2.62Luzino xG
60%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–37%
2–27%
1–16%
2–36%
2–15%
From our goals model: Stargard Szczeciński 1.6 – 2.6 Luzino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luzino to win✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Double chance
Luzino or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Draw no bet
Luzino (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Stargard Szczeciński +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
First team to score
Luzino to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Luzino ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luzino / FT Luzino✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.54
–
Recent results
Stargard Szczeciński – last 6
LWLDWW
19 Aug
@ Polonia Środa
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Lech Poznań II
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Kluczevia Stargard
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Wda Świecie
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ Świt Skolwin
1–0
W
30 May
vs Flota Świnoujście
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Luzino – last 6
WWDWLL
19 Aug
vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
3–1
W
14 Aug
@ Victoria Września
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Bałtyk Koszalin
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Kotwica Kórnik
6–2
W
18 Jul
@ Arka Gdynia
0–2
L
10 Jul
vs Grom Nowy Staw
0–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stargard Szczeciński and Luzino.
What is the prediction for Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino?
Our pick is Luzino to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino?
On our numbers Stargard Szczeciński have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Luzino 57%.
How many goals will there be in Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino?
Our predicted score is Stargard Szczeciński 1–2 Luzino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino?
Stargard Szczeciński vs Luzino (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.