Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Kluczevia Stargard to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKluczevia Stargard to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.81
Grom Nowy Staw vs Kluczevia Stargard: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kluczevia Stargard travel to face Grom Nowy Staw on Sunday 23 August in the III Liga Group 2 – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Grom Nowy Staw are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Kluczevia Stargard are 2nd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
Grom Nowy Staw, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Wda Świecie, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Kluczevia Stargard, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Gedania Gdansk, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Kluczevia Stargard, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Grom Nowy Staw.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Grom Nowy Staw 1.4 xG, Kluczevia Stargard 2.3 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Grom Nowy Staw 24%, draw 16%, Kluczevia Stargard 60%.
Price worth noting: Kluczevia Stargard to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grom Nowy Staw 1–2 Kluczevia Stargard. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Grom Nowy Staw24%fair 4.13 · @3.30
Draw16%fair 6.40 · @3.75
Kluczevia Stargard60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
3.65Expected goals
1.37Grom Nowy Staw xG
2.29Kluczevia Stargard xG
55%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Grom Nowy Staw 1.4 – 2.3 Kluczevia Stargard expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kluczevia Stargard to win✓
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Kluczevia Stargard (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Grom Nowy Staw +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
First team to score
Kluczevia Stargard to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Kluczevia Stargard ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kluczevia Stargard / FT Kluczevia Stargard✓
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Grom Nowy Staw – last 6
LLWLDW
19 Aug
@ Wda Świecie
2–4
L
15 Aug
vs Elana Toruń
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Noteć Czarnków
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Unia Swarzędz
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs Olimpia Elbląg
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Concordia Elbląg
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kluczevia Stargard – last 6
DWWWWL
19 Aug
vs Gedania Gdansk
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Lipno Stęszew
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs Stargard Szczeciński
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Polonia Słubice
2–1
W
19 Jul
vs Warta Gorzów
3–0
W
11 Jul
vs Miedź Legnica II
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grom Nowy Staw and Kluczevia Stargard.
What is the prediction for Grom Nowy Staw vs Kluczevia Stargard?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Grom Nowy Staw vs Kluczevia Stargard?
On our numbers Grom Nowy Staw have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kluczevia Stargard 60%.
How many goals will there be in Grom Nowy Staw vs Kluczevia Stargard?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grom Nowy Staw vs Kluczevia Stargard?
Our predicted score is Grom Nowy Staw 1–2 Kluczevia Stargard, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Grom Nowy Staw vs Kluczevia Stargard?
Grom Nowy Staw vs Kluczevia Stargard (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
