Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Flota Świnoujście to win @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFlota Świnoujście to win ✗52% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the III Liga Group 2 brings Chemik Bydgoszcz against Flota Świnoujście. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Chemik Bydgoszcz are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Flota Świnoujście are 15th (lower half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chemik Bydgoszcz, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Luzino, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Flota Świnoujście, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Victoria Września, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.3 xG, Flota Świnoujście 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chemik Bydgoszcz 26%, draw 22%, Flota Świnoujście 52%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Flota Świnoujście to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chemik Bydgoszcz 1–1 Flota Świnoujście. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chemik Bydgoszcz26%fair 3.80 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.25
Flota Świnoujście52%fair 1.92 · @2.15
3.14Expected goals
1.27Chemik Bydgoszcz xG
1.87Flota Świnoujście xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.3 – 1.9 Flota Świnoujście expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flota Świnoujście to win✗
52%
1.92
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.40
Draw no bet
Flota Świnoujście (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Chemik Bydgoszcz +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Flota Świnoujście to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Flota Świnoujście ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flota Świnoujście / FT Flota Świnoujście✗
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Chemik Bydgoszcz – last 6
LLDWWW
19 Aug
@ Luzino
1–3
L
14 Aug
vs Polonia Środa
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Lech Poznań II
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Stomil Olsztyn
3–1
W
18 Jul
@ Wikielec
7–0
W
11 Jul
@ Wisła Płock II
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Flota Świnoujście – last 6
WWWLDL
19 Aug
vs Victoria Września
5–0
W
15 Aug
@ Bałtyk Koszalin
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Kotwica Kórnik
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Kalisz
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Warta Gorzów
1–1
D
10 Jul
@ Świt Skolwin
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chemik Bydgoszcz and Flota Świnoujście.
What is the prediction for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście?
On our numbers Chemik Bydgoszcz have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Flota Świnoujście 52%.
How many goals will there be in Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście?
Our predicted score is Chemik Bydgoszcz 1–1 Flota Świnoujście, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście?
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Flota Świnoujście (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
