Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultNoteć Czarnków to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · fair 1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Elana Toruń travel to face Noteć Czarnków on Saturday 22 August in the III Liga Group 2 – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Noteć Czarnków are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Elana Toruń are 11th (lower half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Noteć Czarnków, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kalisz, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Elana Toruń, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Unia Swarzędz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Noteć Czarnków, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Elana Toruń.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Elana Toruń 0–3 Noteć Czarnków.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Noteć Czarnków 2.2 xG, Elana Toruń 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Noteć Czarnków 61%, draw 18%, Elana Toruń 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Noteć Czarnków to win (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Noteć Czarnków 2–1 Elana Toruń. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Noteć Czarnków61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @3.80
Elana Toruń21%fair 4.86 · @3.60
3.32Expected goals
2.16Noteć Czarnków xG
1.16Elana Toruń xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Noteć Czarnków 2.2 – 1.2 Elana Toruń expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń?
Our pick is Noteć Czarnków to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń?
On our numbers Noteć Czarnków have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Elana Toruń 21%.
How many goals will there be in Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń?
Our predicted score is Noteć Czarnków 2–1 Elana Toruń, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń?
Noteć Czarnków vs Elana Toruń (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
