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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lipno Stęszew v Polonia Środa: numbers & prediction

2–3
FT
Lipno Stęszew 15%Draw 19%Polonia Środa 67% Expected goals 0.94 – 2.23
67%
Betarazi pick

Polonia Środa to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultPolonia Środa to win ✓67% · @1.60
Double chancePolonia Środa or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lipno Stęszew welcome Polonia Środa for a III Liga Group 2 fixture on Saturday 22 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Lipno Stęszew are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Polonia Środa are 1st (leading the league) with 37. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Lipno Stęszew, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lech Poznań II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Polonia Środa, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Stargard Szczeciński, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Polonia Środa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Lipno Stęszew.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended Lipno Stęszew 1–1 Polonia Środa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lipno Stęszew 0.9 xG, Polonia Środa 2.2 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lipno Stęszew 15%, draw 19%, Polonia Środa 67%.
  • Lower-risk option: Polonia Środa or draw (85%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Polonia Środa to win (67%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lipno Stęszew 0–2 Polonia Środa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lipno Stęszew15%fair 6.84 · @4.20
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.10
Polonia Środa67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
3.18Expected goals
0.94Lipno Stęszew xG
2.23Polonia Środa xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Lipno Stęszew 0.9 – 2.2 Polonia Środa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPolonia Środa to win ✓67%1.501.60 ▲
Double chancePolonia Środa or draw ✓85%1.171.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.93–
Draw no betPolonia Środa (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapPolonia Środa -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.27–
First team to scorePolonia Środa to score first ✓67%1.48–
Half-time resultPolonia Środa ahead at half-time ✓49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Polonia Środa / FT Polonia Środa ✓44%2.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Lipno Stęszew – last 6

LLLDWL
19 Aug@ Lech Poznań II0–1L
15 Augvs Kluczevia Stargard1–4L
8 Aug@ Wda Świecie1–2L
1 Aug@ Elana Toruń1–1D
18 Jul@ Odra Bytom Odrzański2–1W
15 Jul@ Unia Swarzędz0–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Polonia Środa – last 6

WWWWLL
19 Augvs Stargard Szczeciński4–1W
14 Aug@ Chemik Bydgoszcz4–1W
7 Augvs Victoria Września1–0W
1 Aug@ Bałtyk Koszalin3–0W
18 Julvs Olimpia Grudziądz0–3L
15 Jul@ Warta Sieradz1–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026Lipno Stęszew v Polonia Środa1–1
Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa?

Our pick is Polonia Środa to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa?

On our numbers Lipno Stęszew have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Polonia Środa 67%.

How many goals will there be in Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa?

Our predicted score is Lipno Stęszew 0–2 Polonia Środa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa?

Lipno Stęszew vs Polonia Środa (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.