Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Chemik Bydgoszcz to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKotwica Kórnik to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Kotwica Kórnik vs Chemik Bydgoszcz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kotwica Kórnik welcome Chemik Bydgoszcz for a III Liga Group 2 fixture on Friday 28 August (16:30 WAT). In the table, Kotwica Kórnik are 18th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 16 matches; Chemik Bydgoszcz are 14th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Kotwica Kórnik, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Victoria Września, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Chemik Bydgoszcz, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Flota Świnoujście, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Chemik Bydgoszcz, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kotwica Kórnik 1.6 xG, Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kotwica Kórnik 42%, draw 21%, Chemik Bydgoszcz 37%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: Chemik Bydgoszcz to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kotwica Kórnik 1–1 Chemik Bydgoszcz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kotwica Kórnik42%fair 2.37 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.40
Chemik Bydgoszcz37%fair 2.72 · @2.95
3.13Expected goals
1.63Kotwica Kórnik xG
1.50Chemik Bydgoszcz xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Kotwica Kórnik 1.6 – 1.5 Chemik Bydgoszcz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kotwica Kórnik to win✓
42%
2.37
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Draw no bet
Kotwica Kórnik (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Chemik Bydgoszcz +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.54
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Kotwica Kórnik to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kotwica Kórnik / FT Kotwica Kórnik✓
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Kotwica Kórnik – last 6
LLDLLW
22 Aug
@ Victoria Września
0–1
L
19 Aug
vs Bałtyk Koszalin
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Kalisz
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Flota Świnoujście
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Luzino
2–6
L
25 Jul
@ Unia Swarzędz
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chemik Bydgoszcz – last 6
DLLDWW
22 Aug
vs Flota Świnoujście
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Luzino
1–3
L
14 Aug
vs Polonia Środa
1–4
L
8 Aug
@ Lech Poznań II
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Stomil Olsztyn
3–1
W
18 Jul
@ Wikielec
7–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kotwica Kórnik and Chemik Bydgoszcz.
What is the prediction for Kotwica Kórnik vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Kotwica Kórnik vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
On our numbers Kotwica Kórnik have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chemik Bydgoszcz 37%.
How many goals will there be in Kotwica Kórnik vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kotwica Kórnik vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
Our predicted score is Kotwica Kórnik 1–1 Chemik Bydgoszcz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Kotwica Kórnik vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
Kotwica Kórnik vs Chemik Bydgoszcz (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
