Double chancePolonia Środa or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 28 August: Polonia Środa v Gedania Gdansk in the III Liga Group 2. In the table, Polonia Środa are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 16 matches; Gedania Gdansk are 12th (lower half) with 19. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Polonia Środa, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Lipno Stęszew, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Gedania Gdansk, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Lech Poznań II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Polonia Środa, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Gedania Gdansk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Środa 2.7 xG, Gedania Gdansk 1.2 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Środa 69%, draw 18%, Gedania Gdansk 13%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Środa 2–1 Gedania Gdansk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polonia Środa69%fair 1.45 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @5.25
Gedania Gdansk13%fair 7.48 · @6.50
3.87Expected goals
2.70Polonia Środa xG
1.17Gedania Gdansk xG
57%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Polonia Środa 2.7 – 1.2 Gedania Gdansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Środa to win✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Double chance
Polonia Środa or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Polonia Środa (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Polonia Środa -1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
First team to score
Polonia Środa to score first✗
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Polonia Środa ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Środa / FT Polonia Środa✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Polonia Środa – last 6
WWWWWL
22 Aug
@ Lipno Stęszew
3–2
W
19 Aug
vs Stargard Szczeciński
4–1
W
14 Aug
@ Chemik Bydgoszcz
4–1
W
7 Aug
vs Victoria Września
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Bałtyk Koszalin
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Olimpia Grudziądz
0–3
L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Gedania Gdansk – last 6
LDDDWL
23 Aug
vs Lech Poznań II
2–3
L
19 Aug
@ Kluczevia Stargard
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Wda Świecie
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Elana Toruń
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Noteć Czarnków
5–3
W
11 Jul
@ Olimpia Elbląg
0–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Środa and Gedania Gdansk.
What is the prediction for Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk?
On our numbers Polonia Środa have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Gedania Gdansk 13%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk?
Our predicted score is Polonia Środa 2–1 Gedania Gdansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk?
Polonia Środa vs Gedania Gdansk (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
