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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Luzino v Lipno Stęszew: numbers & prediction

Luzino

LWWDW
2–1
FT
Luzino 74%Draw 16%Lipno Stęszew 11% Expected goals 2.66 – 0.94
74%
Betarazi pick

Luzino to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.24Odds

Picks by market

ResultLuzino to win ✓74% · @1.24
Double chanceLuzino or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.64
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.01

Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 28 August the III Liga Group 2 brings Luzino against Lipno Stęszew. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Luzino are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Lipno Stęszew are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Luzino, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Stargard Szczeciński, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Lipno Stęszew, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Polonia Środa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Luzino, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Lipno Stęszew.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Lipno Stęszew 0–5 Luzino.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Luzino 2.7 xG, Lipno Stęszew 0.9 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Luzino 74%, draw 16%, Lipno Stęszew 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.64.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Luzino to win (74%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luzino 2–0 Lipno Stęszew. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Luzino74%fair 1.36 · @1.24
Draw16%fair 6.29 · @5.25
Lipno Stęszew11%fair 9.51 · @8.00
3.60Expected goals
2.66Luzino xG
0.94Lipno Stęszew xG
60%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%

From our goals model: Luzino 2.7 – 0.9 Lipno Stęszew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLuzino to win ✓74%1.361.24
Double chanceLuzino or draw ✓89%1.121.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.64
Draw no betLuzino (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapLuzino -1 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.32
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.931.73
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.431.30
First team to scoreLuzino to score first72%1.39–
Half-time resultLuzino ahead at half-time ✗55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Luzino / FT Luzino ✗51%1.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.01–

Recent results

Luzino – last 6

LWWDWL
23 Aug@ Stargard Szczeciński1–2L
19 Augvs Chemik Bydgoszcz3–1W
14 Aug@ Victoria Września3–1W
9 Augvs Bałtyk Koszalin1–1D
1 Aug@ Kotwica Kórnik6–2W
18 Jul@ Arka Gdynia0–2L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lipno Stęszew – last 6

LLLLDW
22 Augvs Polonia Środa2–3L
19 Aug@ Lech Poznań II0–1L
15 Augvs Kluczevia Stargard1–4L
8 Aug@ Wda Świecie1–2L
1 Aug@ Elana Toruń1–1D
18 Jul@ Odra Bytom Odrzański2–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Lipno Stęszew v Luzino0–5
Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew?

Our pick is Luzino to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew?

On our numbers Luzino have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Lipno Stęszew 11%.

How many goals will there be in Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew?

Our predicted score is Luzino 2–0 Lipno Stęszew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew?

Luzino vs Lipno Stęszew (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.