Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultCastellón to win ✗61% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.95
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗29% · fair 3.43
Castellón vs Sabadell: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Castellón welcome Sabadell to Estadio Municipal Castalia for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 23 August (18:00 WAT). In the table, Castellón are 2nd, among the top four, on 27 points after 12 matches; Sabadell are 13th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Castellón, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Sociedad II, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Sabadell, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sporting Gijon, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 6. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Castellón 2–0 Sabadell.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellón 0.5 xG, Sabadell 0.0 xG – a total near 0.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 99% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellón 61%, draw 18%, Sabadell 21%.
GG/NG: NG (60%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (60%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellón 0–0 Sabadell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellón61%fair 1.64 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @4.00
Sabadell21%fair 4.84 · @5.50
0.50Expected goals
0.48Castellón xG
0.02Sabadell xG
40%Both score
1%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–061%
1–029%
2–07%
0–11%
3–01%
1–11%
From our goals model: Castellón 0.5 – 0.0 Sabadell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Castellón vs Sabadell?
On our numbers Castellón have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sabadell 21%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón vs Sabadell?
We expect about 0.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 1% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellón vs Sabadell?
Our predicted score is Castellón 0–0 Sabadell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 0.5 goals in total.
When is Castellón vs Sabadell?
Castellón vs Sabadell (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castalia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.