Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlmeria to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Tenerife vs Almeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Segunda División brings Tenerife against Almeria at Heliodoro Rodríguez López. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Tenerife are 14th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Almeria are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tenerife, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Eibar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Almeria, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Eldense, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tenerife 1.6 xG, Almeria 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tenerife 32%, draw 24%, Almeria 44%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tenerife 1–1 Almeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tenerife32%fair 3.16 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90
Almeria44%fair 2.28 · @2.40
3.50Expected goals
1.60Tenerife xG
1.90Almeria xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Tenerife 1.6 – 1.9 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almeria to win✗
44%
2.28
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Almeria (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Tenerife +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Almeria to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almeria / FT Almeria✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Tenerife – last 6
WDWDWL
16 Aug
@ Eibar
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Leganes
0–0
D
4 Aug
vs Tamaraceite
3–2
W
1 Aug
vs Cadiz
2–2
D
26 Jul
@ Marino
6–0
W
22 Jul
vs Getafe
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Almeria – last 6
WWWLLL
17 Aug
vs Eldense
3–0
W
7 Aug
@ Cordoba
4–0
W
4 Aug
@ Al-Nassr
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Real Betis
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Granada CF
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Malaga
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tenerife and Almeria.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Tenerife vs Almeria?
On our numbers Tenerife have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Almeria 44%.
How many goals will there be in Tenerife vs Almeria?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Almeria?
Our predicted score is Tenerife 1–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tenerife vs Almeria?
Tenerife vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Heliodoro Rodríguez López.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
