Value bet: Celta de Vigo II to win @ 3.35 – our chance 41% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +38%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCelta de Vigo II to win ✓41% · @3.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58
AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AD Ceuta FC welcome Celta de Vigo II to Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 5 September (17:30 WAT). In the table, AD Ceuta FC are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 13 matches; Celta de Vigo II are 16th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
AD Ceuta FC, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Mallorca, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Celta de Vigo II, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Castellón, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Celta de Vigo II, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for AD Ceuta FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Ceuta FC 1.5 xG, Celta de Vigo II 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Ceuta FC 37%, draw 22%, Celta de Vigo II 41%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Celta de Vigo II to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Celta de Vigo II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Ceuta FC37%fair 2.68 · @2.08
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.45
Celta de Vigo II41%fair 2.43 · @3.35
3.06Expected goals
1.48AD Ceuta FC xG
1.57Celta de Vigo II xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.5 – 1.6 Celta de Vigo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta de Vigo II to win✓
41%
2.43
3.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.62
Draw no bet
Celta de Vigo II (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
AD Ceuta FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.13
First team to score
Celta de Vigo II to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta de Vigo II / FT Celta de Vigo II✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
LLLWWL
30 Aug
@ Mallorca
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Las Palmas
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ FC Andorra
1–5
L
7 Aug
vs Malaga
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Cadiz
3–1
W
26 Jul
@ Sevilla
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo II – last 6
LWDWWD
31 Aug
vs Castellón
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs FC Andorra
4–2
W
15 Aug
@ Cadiz
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Vizela
1–0
W
20 Jun
vs Ponferradina
4–1
W
13 Jun
@ Ponferradina
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Ceuta FC and Celta de Vigo II.
What is the prediction for AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Celta de Vigo II 41%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Celta de Vigo II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II?
AD Ceuta FC vs Celta de Vigo II (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
