Eldense v Mallorca Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMallorca to win ✗52% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.63

Eldense vs Mallorca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 5 September the Segunda División brings Eldense against Mallorca at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Eldense are 15th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Mallorca are 6th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Eldense, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Leganes, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Mallorca, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over AD Ceuta FC, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Mallorca, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Eldense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Eldense 1.0 xG, Mallorca 1.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Eldense 25%, draw 23%, Mallorca 52%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Mallorca to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eldense 0–1 Mallorca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Eldense25%fair 4.02 · @3.45

Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.30

Mallorca52%fair 1.90 · @2.10

2.53Expected goals

0.97Eldense xG

1.56Mallorca xG

57%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%

1–112%

0–210%

1–29%

0–08%

1–08%

From our goals model: Eldense 1.0 – 1.6 Mallorca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Mallorca to win ✗	52%	1.90	2.10 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.29	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.75	1.73
Draw no bet	Mallorca (draw no bet)	68%	1.47	–
Asian handicap	Eldense +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	71%	1.40	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.88	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	1.10
First team to score	Mallorca to score first ✗	57%	1.76	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.32	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca ✗	31%	3.25	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.63	–

Eldense – last 6

LDLLLL

29 Aug	@ Leganes	0–1	L
22 Aug	vs Cadiz	2–2	D
17 Aug	@ Almeria	0–3	L
7 Aug	@ Albacete	0–1	L
4 Aug	vs Villarreal II	1–3	L
1 Aug	@ Real Murcia	1–2	L

0.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Mallorca – last 6

WLWDWW

30 Aug	vs AD Ceuta FC	3–0	W
24 Aug	@ Granada CF	0–2	L
15 Aug	vs Valladolid	2–0	W
8 Aug	vs SV Elversberg	1–1	D
5 Aug	vs Paris Saint Germain	3–0	W
30 Jul	vs Al-Ittihad FC	4–2	W

2.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eldense vs Mallorca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Eldense vs Mallorca?

On our numbers Eldense have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mallorca 52%.

How many goals will there be in Eldense vs Mallorca?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Eldense vs Mallorca?

Our predicted score is Eldense 0–1 Mallorca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Eldense vs Mallorca?

Eldense vs Mallorca (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Eldense v Mallorca: numbers & prediction