Sporting Gijon v Girona Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGirona to win ✓39% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.85

Sporting Gijon vs Girona: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:15 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Sporting Gijon v Girona in the Segunda División. In the table, Sporting Gijon are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Girona are 8th (upper half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sporting Gijon, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tenerife, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Girona, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Las Palmas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Gijon 1.2 xG, Girona 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Gijon 38%, draw 23%, Girona 39%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Sporting Gijon to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Gijon 1–1 Girona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Gijon38%fair 2.65 · @2.88

Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10

Girona39%fair 2.55 · @2.30

2.33Expected goals

1.15Sporting Gijon xG

1.18Girona xG

56%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–111%

1–011%

0–010%

1–28%

2–18%

From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.2 – 1.2 Girona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Girona to win ✓	39%	2.55	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.78	1.70
Draw no bet	Girona (draw no bet) ✓	51%	1.97	–
Asian handicap	Sporting Gijon +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Girona to score first ✓	46%	2.19	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Girona / FT Girona ✓	21%	4.82	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.85	–

Sporting Gijon – last 6

WWDLLL

28 Aug	@ Tenerife	1–0	W
23 Aug	vs Burgos	1–0	W
17 Aug	vs Sabadell	0–0	D
8 Aug	vs Valladolid	2–4	L
7 Aug	@ Racing Santander	1–4	L
1 Aug	@ Gimnástica Torrelavega	0–5	L

0.8Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Girona – last 6

WLDDDL

29 Aug	vs Las Palmas	5–2	W
21 Aug	@ Cordoba	1–2	L
16 Aug	vs Leganes	1–1	D
8 Aug	@ Gimnastic	1–1	D
7 Aug	vs Sabadell	2–2	D
1 Aug	vs Arsenal	1–4	L

1.8Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Girona?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Girona?

On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Girona 39%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Girona?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Girona?

Our predicted score is Sporting Gijon 1–1 Girona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Sporting Gijon vs Girona?

Sporting Gijon vs Girona (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sporting Gijon v Girona: numbers & prediction