Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AD Ceuta FC travel to face Castellón on Sunday 4 October in the Segunda División, with Estadio Municipal Castalia the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Castellón are 2nd, among the top four, on 27 points after 12 matches; AD Ceuta FC are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Castellón, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Leganes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
AD Ceuta FC, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Real Sociedad II, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Castellón, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for AD Ceuta FC.
Head to head
When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Castellón.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellón 2.2 xG, AD Ceuta FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellón 74%, draw 16%, AD Ceuta FC 10%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Castellón to win (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellón 2–0 AD Ceuta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellón74%fair 1.35 · @1.22
Draw16%fair 6.15 · @6.00
AD Ceuta FC10%fair 10.37 · @10.00
2.79Expected goals
2.18Castellón xG
0.61AD Ceuta FC xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–16%
From our goals model: Castellón 2.2 – 0.6 AD Ceuta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our pick is Castellón to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?
On our numbers Castellón have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and AD Ceuta FC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our predicted score is Castellón 2–0 AD Ceuta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?
Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castalia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
