Sporting Gijon 60%Draw 23%Celta de Vigo II 16%Expected goals 1.52 – 0.62
60%
Betarazi pick
Sporting Gijon to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultSporting Gijon to win ✓60% · @1.55
Double chanceSporting Gijon or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:15 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Sporting Gijon v Celta de Vigo II in the Segunda División, played at El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini. In the table, Sporting Gijon are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Celta de Vigo II are 16th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Sporting Gijon, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Oviedo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Celta de Vigo II, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sabadell, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Gijon 1.5 xG, Celta de Vigo II 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Gijon 60%, draw 23%, Celta de Vigo II 16%.
Lower-risk option: Sporting Gijon or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting Gijon to win (60%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Gijon 1–0 Celta de Vigo II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Gijon60%fair 1.65 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.90
Celta de Vigo II16%fair 6.09 · @5.00
2.14Expected goals
1.52Sporting Gijon xG
0.62Celta de Vigo II xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.5 – 0.6 Celta de Vigo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijon to win✓
60%
1.65
1.55
Double chance
Sporting Gijon or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.73
Draw no bet
Sporting Gijon (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Celta de Vigo II +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Sporting Gijon to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
Sporting Gijon – last 6
LWLLWW
27 Sep
@ Oviedo
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ FC Andorra
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Eldense
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Girona
0–2
L
28 Aug
@ Tenerife
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Burgos
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Celta de Vigo II – last 6
DLLWLW
26 Sep
vs Sabadell
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Almeria
0–2
L
14 Sep
vs Eibar
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ AD Ceuta FC
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Castellón
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs FC Andorra
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijon and Celta de Vigo II.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our pick is Sporting Gijon to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II?
On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Celta de Vigo II 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijon 1–0 Celta de Vigo II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II?
Sporting Gijon vs Celta de Vigo II (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
