Las Palmas vs Valladolid: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Las Palmas v Valladolid in the Segunda División, played at Gran Canaria. In the table, Las Palmas are 10th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Valladolid are 12th (lower half) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Las Palmas, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Eibar, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Valladolid, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cordoba, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Las Palmas 1.4 xG, Valladolid 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Las Palmas 45%, draw 23%, Valladolid 31%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Palmas 1–1 Valladolid. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Las Palmas45%fair 2.21 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.00
Valladolid31%fair 3.20 · @3.25
2.57Expected goals
1.44Las Palmas xG
1.13Valladolid xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Las Palmas 1.4 – 1.1 Valladolid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win✗
45%
2.21
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.75
Draw no bet
Las Palmas (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Valladolid +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Las Palmas to score first
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Las Palmas – last 6
LLWDLW
27 Sep
@ Eibar
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Burgos
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Cadiz
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Leganes
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Girona
2–5
L
22 Aug
@ AD Ceuta FC
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Valladolid – last 6
WDLWDL
27 Sep
vs Cordoba
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Oviedo
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs FC Andorra
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Cadiz
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Eibar
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and Valladolid.
What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
On our numbers Las Palmas have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valladolid 31%.
How many goals will there be in Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
Our predicted score is Las Palmas 1–1 Valladolid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
Las Palmas vs Valladolid (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Gran Canaria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
