Burgos vs Granada CF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:15 WAT, Monday 12 October: Burgos v Granada CF in the Segunda División, played at Municipal El Plantio. In the table, Burgos are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Granada CF are 5th (upper half) with 23. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Burgos, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Almeria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Granada CF, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Real Sociedad II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Burgos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Granada CF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burgos 1.6 xG, Granada CF 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burgos 43%, draw 23%, Granada CF 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgos 1–1 Granada CF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burgos43%fair 2.30 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Granada CF33%fair 3.01 · @2.90
2.94Expected goals
1.59Burgos xG
1.35Granada CF xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Burgos 1.6 – 1.4 Granada CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgos to win✗
43%
2.30
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Draw no bet
Burgos (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Granada CF +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Burgos to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgos / FT Burgos✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Burgos – last 6
LWWWDD
3 Oct
@ Almeria
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Eldense
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Las Palmas
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs AD Ceuta FC
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Oviedo
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Real Sociedad II
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Granada CF – last 6
WLLDLW
4 Oct
@ Real Sociedad II
3–2
W
26 Sep
vs FC Andorra
2–3
L
20 Sep
@ Leganes
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Albacete
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Eibar
0–3
L
30 Aug
@ Cordoba
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgos and Granada CF.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Burgos vs Granada CF?
On our numbers Burgos have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Granada CF 33%.
How many goals will there be in Burgos vs Granada CF?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Granada CF?
Our predicted score is Burgos 1–1 Granada CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Burgos vs Granada CF?
Burgos vs Granada CF (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Municipal El Plantio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
