Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
2
Value bet: Eibar to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOviedo to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.02
Oviedo vs Eibar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Oviedo welcome Eibar to Nuevo Carlos Tartiere for a Segunda División fixture on Monday 12 October (17:30 WAT). In the table, Oviedo are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Eibar are 4th (among the top four) with 23. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Oviedo, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Eldense, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Eibar, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Albacete, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Eibar, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Oviedo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oviedo 1.3 xG, Eibar 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oviedo 40%, draw 24%, Eibar 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Eibar to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oviedo 1–1 Eibar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oviedo40%fair 2.53 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Eibar36%fair 2.76 · @3.25
2.56Expected goals
1.31Oviedo xG
1.25Eibar xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Oviedo 1.3 – 1.2 Eibar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oviedo to win✓
40%
2.53
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Oviedo (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Eibar +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Oviedo to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oviedo / FT Oviedo✓
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.02
–
Recent results
Oviedo – last 6
LWLWDW
2 Oct
@ Eldense
1–4
L
27 Sep
vs Sporting Gijon
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Sabadell
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Valladolid
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Burgos
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Albacete
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Eibar – last 6
WWWWWW
3 Oct
@ Albacete
3–1
W
27 Sep
vs Las Palmas
3–2
W
19 Sep
@ Eldense
2–1
W
14 Sep
@ Celta de Vigo II
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs Granada CF
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ FC Andorra
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oviedo and Eibar.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Oviedo vs Eibar?
On our numbers Oviedo have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Eibar 36%.
How many goals will there be in Oviedo vs Eibar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Eibar?
Our predicted score is Oviedo 1–1 Eibar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Oviedo vs Eibar?
Oviedo vs Eibar (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
