Valladolid v Albacete Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultValladolid to win ✓58% · @1.95

Double chanceValladolid or draw ✓83% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67

Valladolid vs Albacete: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 12 October the Segunda División brings Valladolid against Albacete at Estadio José Zorrilla. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Valladolid are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Albacete are 21st (in the drop zone) with 10.

Current form

Valladolid, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Las Palmas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Albacete, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Eibar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Valladolid, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Albacete.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valladolid 1.7 xG, Albacete 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Valladolid 58%, draw 25%, Albacete 17%.
Lower-risk option: Valladolid or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Valladolid to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Valladolid or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valladolid 1–0 Albacete. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valladolid58%fair 1.74 · @1.95

Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.10

Albacete17%fair 5.79 · @3.60

2.44Expected goals

1.65Valladolid xG

0.79Albacete xG

55%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%

2–012%

1–111%

2–19%

0–09%

0–17%

From our goals model: Valladolid 1.7 – 0.8 Albacete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Valladolid to win ✓	58%	1.74	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Valladolid or draw ✓	83%	1.21	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	55%	1.83	1.80
Draw no bet	Valladolid (draw no bet) ✓	77%	1.30	–
Asian handicap	Albacete +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.79	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Valladolid to score first ✓	62%	1.62	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.31	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Valladolid / FT Valladolid ✓	36%	2.81	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.67	–

Valladolid – last 6

DWDLWD

4 Oct	@ Las Palmas	2–2	D
27 Sep	vs Cordoba	3–1	W
20 Sep	@ AD Ceuta FC	1–1	D
13 Sep	vs Oviedo	0–3	L
5 Sep	vs FC Andorra	1–0	W
30 Aug	@ Cadiz	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Albacete – last 6

LLLDLL

3 Oct	vs Eibar	1–3	L
25 Sep	@ Girona	0–2	L
18 Sep	vs Cordoba	1–2	L
12 Sep	@ Granada CF	1–1	D
6 Sep	@ Castellón	0–2	L
29 Aug	vs Oviedo	0–1	L

0.5Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valladolid vs Albacete?

Our pick is Valladolid or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Valladolid vs Albacete?

On our numbers Valladolid have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Albacete 17%.

How many goals will there be in Valladolid vs Albacete?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valladolid vs Albacete?

Our predicted score is Valladolid 1–0 Albacete, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Valladolid vs Albacete?

Valladolid vs Albacete (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio José Zorrilla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Valladolid v Albacete: numbers & prediction