Value bet: Sporting Gijon to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCadiz to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.82
Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Segunda División brings Cadiz against Sporting Gijon at JP Financial Estadio. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Cadiz are 20th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Sporting Gijon are 7th (upper half) with 22. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cadiz, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Leganes, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Sporting Gijon, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Celta de Vigo II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sporting Gijon, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Cadiz.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Sporting Gijon 3–0 Cadiz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cadiz 1.2 xG, Sporting Gijon 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cadiz 39%, draw 24%, Sporting Gijon 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Sporting Gijon to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cadiz 1–1 Sporting Gijon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cadiz39%fair 2.57 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90
Sporting Gijon37%fair 2.73 · @2.90
2.31Expected goals
1.18Cadiz xG
1.13Sporting Gijon xG
58%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Cadiz 1.2 – 1.1 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon?
On our numbers Cadiz have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sporting Gijon 37%.
How many goals will there be in Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon?
Our predicted score is Cadiz 1–1 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon?
Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at JP Financial Estadio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
