Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultMallorca to win ✓67% · @1.57
Double chanceMallorca or draw ✓87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.01
Mallorca vs Las Palmas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Las Palmas travel to face Mallorca on Sunday 11 October in the Segunda División, with Estadi Mallorca Son Moix the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Mallorca are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; Las Palmas are 10th (upper half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mallorca, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Girona, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Las Palmas, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Valladolid, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Mallorca, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Las Palmas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mallorca 1.7 xG, Las Palmas 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mallorca 67%, draw 20%, Las Palmas 13%.
Lower-risk option: Mallorca or draw (87%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mallorca to win (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mallorca 1–0 Las Palmas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mallorca67%fair 1.49 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.80
Las Palmas13%fair 7.95 · @5.00
2.25Expected goals
1.71Mallorca xG
0.54Las Palmas xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.7 – 0.5 Las Palmas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca to win✓
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Mallorca or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Draw no bet
Mallorca (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Mallorca -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Mallorca to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Mallorca ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Mallorca – last 6
DLWWDW
4 Oct
@ Girona
0–0
D
27 Sep
vs Almeria
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Real Sociedad II
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Eldense
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs AD Ceuta FC
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Las Palmas – last 6
DLLWDL
4 Oct
vs Valladolid
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Eibar
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Burgos
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Cadiz
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Leganes
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Girona
2–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Las Palmas.
What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
Our pick is Mallorca to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Las Palmas 13%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
Our predicted score is Mallorca 1–0 Las Palmas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mallorca vs Las Palmas?
Mallorca vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
