Burgos vs Sabadell: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sabadell travel to face Burgos on Sunday 18 October in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Burgos are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Sabadell are 13th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Burgos, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Granada CF, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Sabadell, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over AD Ceuta FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burgos 1.1 xG, Sabadell 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burgos 39%, draw 25%, Sabadell 36%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.95, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgos 1–1 Sabadell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burgos39%fair 2.54 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.80
Sabadell36%fair 2.81 · @2.80
2.17Expected goals
1.12Burgos xG
1.05Sabadell xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Burgos 1.1 – 1.0 Sabadell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgos to win✓
39%
2.54
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Burgos (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Sabadell +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Burgos to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgos / FT Burgos✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.28
–
Recent results
Burgos – last 6
LLWWWD
12 Oct
vs Granada CF
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Almeria
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Eldense
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Las Palmas
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs AD Ceuta FC
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Oviedo
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sabadell – last 6
WDDWLW
10 Oct
@ AD Ceuta FC
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs FC Andorra
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Celta de Vigo II
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Oviedo
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Mallorca
0–2
L
7 Sep
vs Cordoba
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgos and Sabadell.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Burgos vs Sabadell?
On our numbers Burgos have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sabadell 36%.
How many goals will there be in Burgos vs Sabadell?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Sabadell?
Our predicted score is Burgos 1–1 Sabadell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Burgos vs Sabadell?
Burgos vs Sabadell (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
