AD Ceuta FC 32%Draw 23%Oviedo 45%Expected goals 1.20 – 1.47
58%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultOviedo to win ✓45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.15
AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Oviedo travel to face AD Ceuta FC on Sunday 18 October in the Segunda División, with Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, AD Ceuta FC are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 13 matches; Oviedo are 9th (upper half) with 21. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AD Ceuta FC, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sabadell, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Oviedo, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Eibar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Oviedo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for AD Ceuta FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AD Ceuta FC 1.2 xG, Oviedo 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AD Ceuta FC 32%, draw 23%, Oviedo 45%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Oviedo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AD Ceuta FC32%fair 3.09 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Oviedo45%fair 2.24 · @2.25
2.67Expected goals
1.20AD Ceuta FC xG
1.47Oviedo xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: AD Ceuta FC 1.2 – 1.5 Oviedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oviedo to win✓
45%
2.24
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Draw no bet
Oviedo (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
AD Ceuta FC +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Oviedo to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oviedo / FT Oviedo✓
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
AD Ceuta FC – last 6
LDWDLL
10 Oct
vs Sabadell
1–2
L
4 Oct
@ Castellón
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Real Sociedad II
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Valladolid
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Burgos
1–3
L
5 Sep
vs Celta de Vigo II
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Oviedo – last 6
WLWLWD
12 Oct
vs Eibar
3–1
W
2 Oct
@ Eldense
1–4
L
27 Sep
vs Sporting Gijon
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Sabadell
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Valladolid
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Burgos
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Ceuta FC and Oviedo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?
On our numbers AD Ceuta FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oviedo 45%.
How many goals will there be in AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?
Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 1–1 Oviedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?
AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
